Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.042850 0.049987 0.057832 0.067079 0.077665 0.089389 0.103340
2025-06-08 0.031084 0.040124 0.050989 0.064946 0.082332 0.103203 0.130074
2025-06-15 0.025428 0.035835 0.049341 0.068005 0.092953 0.124959 0.168898
2025-06-22 0.020324 0.031028 0.045914 0.067869 0.099101 0.141555 0.203154
2025-06-29 0.016124 0.026508 0.041900 0.065983 0.102217 0.154071 0.233072
2025-07-06 0.013217 0.023258 0.039035 0.065076 0.106265 0.167963 0.266083
2025-07-13 0.011861 0.022159 0.039182 0.068614 0.117209 0.192885 0.317680
2025-07-20 0.010556 0.020873 0.038763 0.071063 0.126562 0.216140 0.368850
2025-07-27 0.008847 0.018531 0.036154 0.069380 0.128775 0.228086 0.402992
2025-08-03 0.007591 0.016789 0.034303 0.068685 0.132440 0.242557 0.442360
2025-08-10 0.006374 0.014884 0.031836 0.066467 0.133032 0.251691 0.473297
2025-08-17 0.005438 0.013379 0.029892 0.064926 0.134580 0.262475 0.507837
2025-08-24 0.004795 0.012409 0.028915 0.065227 0.139787 0.280585 0.557643
2025-08-31 0.004077 0.011128 0.027084 0.063528 0.140874 0.291178 0.594665
2025-09-07 0.003825 0.010913 0.027543 0.066724 0.152178 0.322182 0.672748
2025-09-14 0.003382 0.010129 0.026589 0.066690 0.156747 0.340457 0.727868
2025-09-21 0.002897 0.009126 0.024957 0.064884 0.157288 0.350691 0.767964
2025-09-28 0.002531 0.008373 0.023802 0.064014 0.159749 0.364995 0.817351
2025-10-05 0.002421 0.008329 0.024429 0.067512 0.172428 0.401702 0.915623
2025-10-12 0.002268 0.008127 0.024614 0.069931 0.182856 0.434453 1.008106
2025-10-19 0.001969 0.007400 0.023269 0.068276 0.183457 0.445883 1.056088
2025-10-26 0.001744 0.006860 0.022348 0.067593 0.186311 0.462501 1.116546
2025-11-02 0.001499 0.006193 0.020946 0.065408 0.185176 0.469957 1.157303